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The Israelis and the Palestinians.

Misoprostol ordered without a perscription             Not that long ago I came across a few sheets of the New York Post from the 1980s which had been used as wrapping paper on some objects which had been stored in my mother’s attic.  Intrigued for a bit of old news, I read that there was an “outbreak” of “increasing violence” in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.  This violence was “spiraling out of control,” I read.  Some articles can just be reprinted every few years, I suppose.  The good news is that you don’t accept the adjectives like “increasing.”  You take the long view.  My mother said of the recent bombings, “this has been going on all of my life.”  She was born in 1944, making her comment basically accurate.

Gebog             As far as I can tell, there are three possibilities:

(1) first, and most likely, this state will continue.  There will be no significant alterations.  There will be killings, but not so many that they will affect population numbers (nor even so many as in a violent American city, like Washington D.C.). 

(2) Second, one side or the other will succeed in killing everyone on the other side.  This is the old-school Middle-Eastern option, the kind of thing the old Persians like Cambyses might do to a rebellious region.  It’s not all that likely anymore, but it’s what everyone fears.  There are some indications that Hafez Assad did this to one town – Hama in Syria – during the 1980s.  He just killed everyone in it and bulldozed the town.  But that was a few thousand people.  We’d be talking about millions here.

(3) Third, there will be some major psychological shift in the way the Palestinians see the war, and they will accept the presence of Israel along more or less the current borders.  This is not likely, but we did see some kind of (distantly) similar psychological shift in Northern Ireland.  It appears (to an outsider) that basic prosperity made “the troubles” unpopular (and irrelevant) for the majority in Ireland, and Nine-Eleven made terrorism quite a bit less cool for the minority that wanted to engage in it.  The first of these conditions does not seem to be working at all for muslims: rich muslims are not much more apathetic to the Israeli-Palestinian struggle than poor ones.  And it is unclear what would have to happen for the second condition to work.  Perhaps only a grievously terrible disaster, which would make the Palestinians’ own problems seem small or their war games ill-advised, would have any effect.  And that is so similar to possibility (2) that it is hard to derive much comfort from it.

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